Match Info

Bunnings NPC - Round 1

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Trafalgar Park (Nelson) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:10	Stan Sport
New Zealand	19:10	Sky Sport 1
International	07:10	RugbyPass TV


	Tasman		North Harbour

	1	X	2
	1.06	45	8.2
	1.06	35.3	9.58	Watch
	1.05	33.14	6.51
	1.06	50	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↑ (1.03)	40.86 ↑ (38.93)	8.12 ↓ (13.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tasman
86.5%

Draw
2.2%

North Harbour
11.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

90.5%

2.4%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tasman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

North Harbour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Tasman - North Harbour Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 15)
2nd Half (12 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasman won 3.

In this match, Tasman is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tasman won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 269:272. (average 24.5:24.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tasman won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 111:108. (average 22.2:21.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tasman Rugby
New Zealand NPC
10.10.25	Bay of Plenty - Tasman	27:7 ✺
04.10.25	Tasman - Counties Manukau	41:49 ✺
26.09.25	Southland - Tasman	38:55 ✺
20.09.25	Tasman - Waikato	24:29 ✺
13.09.25	Canterbury - Tasman	31:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- North Harbour
New Zealand NPC
03.10.25	North Harbour - Southland	15:14 ✺
26.09.25	Otago - North Harbour	41:26 ✺
20.09.25	North Harbour - Northland	21:22 ✺
12.09.25	Waikato - North Harbour	29:28 ✺
04.09.25	Counties Manukau - North Harbour	22:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
23.08.25	North Harbour - Tasman	19:43
26.08.23	Tasman - North Harbour	20:15 OT
20.08.22	North Harbour - Tasman	35:27
03.10.20	North Harbour - Tasman	40:17
15.09.19	Tasman - North Harbour	21:17
01.09.18	North Harbour - Tasman	20:32
04.10.17	Tasman - North Harbour	21:14

Tasman - North Harbour: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide