Match Info

Date: 23 September 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	12:05	Stan Sport


	Tasman		Northland

	1	X	2
	1.5	19	2.62
	1.41	29	2.9
	1.5	22	2.7
	1.44	21	2.8
	1.47	28	2.79
	1.42	19	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)	23 ↑ (22)	2.81 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tasman
63.2%

Draw
4%

Northland
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.6%

4.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

4.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tasman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Northland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tasman than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northland than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Tasman - Northland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:24

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tasman won 5.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tasman will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tasman to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tasman won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 232-112.

Including matches at home between the teams Tasman won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 156-70.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tasman Rugby
New Zealand NPC
17.09.22	Auckland - Tasman	30:27 ✺
10.09.22	Tasman - Taranaki	38:27 ✺
07.09.22	Tasman - Wellington	19:25 ✺
02.09.22	Manawatu - Tasman	26:36 ✺
26.08.22	Tasman - Canterbury	20:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- Northland
New Zealand NPC
18.09.22	Northland - North Harbour	21:48 ✺
11.09.22	Canterbury - Northland	46:17 ✺
02.09.22	Northland - Auckland	23:22 ✺
28.08.22	Northland - Southland	32:19 ✺
19.08.22	Wellington - Northland	6:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
18.09.21	Northland - Tasman	29:48
18.09.20	Tasman - Northland	54:21
05.10.19	Tasman - Northland	52:6
16.09.16	Tasman - Northland	33:23
26.09.13	Northland - Tasman	13:28
15.09.12	Tasman - Northland	17:20

Tasman - Northland

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Tasman - Northland Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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