Match Info

WORLD: Pacific Nations Cup

Date: 5 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Teufaiva Sport Stadium (Nukuʻalofa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 1
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Tonga		Fiji

	1	X	2
	8	26	1.06
	7.9	40	1.08
	9.06	46.28	1.07	Watch
	10	41	1.04
	10.5	46	1.05
	7.9	40	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.89 ↓ (10.5)	39.88 ↓ (50)	1.06 ↑ (1.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-21)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonga
10.4%

Draw
2.3%

Fiji
87.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.9%

1.9%

89.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Fiji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tonga - Fiji Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:41

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felemi J.	1. Mawi E.
2. Aniseko S.	2. Ikanivere T. (C)
3. Tameifuna B. (C)	3. Tawake S.
4. Mataele H.	4. Vocevoce M.
5. Havili O.	5. Mayanavanua T.
6. Ahokovi T.	6. Derenalagi M.
7. Afungia T.	7. Canakaivata E.
8. Inisi L.	8. Tuisue A.
9. Halo A.	9. Lomani F.
10. Pellegrini P.	10. Muntz C.
11. Tuitupou S.	11. Momo E.
12. Paea	12. Cocagi A.
13. Inisi F.	13. Masi I.
14. Filimoehala E.	14. Karawalevu V.
15. Foliaki N.	15. Armstrong-Ravula I.
Substitutes
16. Fineanganofo P.	16. Dolokoto M.
17. Tuifua S.	17. Hetet H.
18. Televave B.	18. Ravai P.
19. Fonoifua P.	19. Rotuisolia R. L.
20. Sakalia S.	20. Salawa K.
21. Siaosi N.	21. Matawalu P.
22. Pulini T.	22. Tabuavou I.
23. Akauola L.	23. Droasese I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 26)
2', Masi I. (Try),
3', Muntz C. (Missed Conversion),
5', Ikanivere T. (Try),
6', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
11', Canakaivata E. (Try),
12', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
18', Paea (Try),
18', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
28', Inisi F. (Try),
29', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
36', Pellegrini P. (Try),
37', Pellegrini P. (Missed Conversion),
40+1', Canakaivata E. (Try),
40+2', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 24)
57', Muntz C. (Penalty Goal),
58', Tabuavou I. (Try),
59', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
71', Derenalagi M. (Try),
71', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
77', Masi I. (Try),
78', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Tonga is Pacific Nations Cup (5th~6th places )

Fiji is Qualified for Pacific Nations Cup (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tonga won 0.

Fiji could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fiji is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 106-213.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonga rugby
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
30.08.24	Samoa - Tonga	43:17 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
18.07.24	Tonga - Spain	20:29 ✺
11.07.24	Tonga - Italy	14:36 ✺
Rugby World Cup
08.10.23	Tonga - Romania	45:24 ✺
01.10.23	South Africa - Tonga	49:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Fiji rugby
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
23.08.24	Fiji - Samoa	42:16 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
19.07.24	New Zealand - Fiji	47:5 ✺
05.07.24	Georgia - Fiji	12:21 ✺
22.06.24	Barbarians - Fiji	45:32 ✺
Rugby World Cup
15.10.23	England - Fiji	30:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
21.07.23	Fiji - Tonga	36:20
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
01.07.22	Fiji - Tonga	36:0
Friendly International Rugby Union
31.08.19	Fiji - Tonga	29:19
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
07.07.17	Tonga - Fiji	10:14
10.06.16	Fiji - Tonga	23:18
17.07.15	Fiji - Tonga	30:22
13.06.14	Fiji - Tonga	45:17

Tonga - Fiji: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide