Match Info

FRANCE: Pro D2 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 8


	Valence Romans Drôme		Montauban

	1	X	2
	1.4	21	3.1
	1.37	21	3.05
	1.39	21	3.15
	1.39	22.43	3.26	Watch
	1.4	23	3
	1.37	15	3.35
	1.39	21	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	20.63 ↓ (21.11)	3.15 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valence Romans Drôme
66.3%

Draw
4.5%

Montauban
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

4.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

5.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valence Romans Drôme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valence Romans Drôme than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valence Romans Drôme, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Valence Romans Drôme - Montauban Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (9 - 16)
11', Fortunel T. (Penalty Goal),
15', Fortunel T. (Penalty Goal),
20', Meret L. (Penalty Goal),
27', Meret L. (Penalty Goal),
30', Meret L. (Penalty Goal),
34', Powell J. (Try),
35', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Larregain T. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (22 - 16)
46', Meret L. (Penalty Goal),
50', Meret L. (Penalty Goal),
53', Fortunel T. (Penalty Goal),
56', Meret L. (Penalty Goal),
60', Meret L. (Penalty Goal),
63', Deligny C. (Try),
64', Meret L. (Conversion Goal),
66', Fortunel T. (Penalty Goal),
69', Bosviel J. (Drop Goal),
76', Meret L. (Penalty Goal),
77', Espeut M. (Try),
78', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valence Romans won 2.

Valence Romans is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montauban is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Valence Romans is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Valence Romans won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 95:139 (average 15.8:23.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Valence Romans won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 54:49 (average 18:16.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valence Romans Drôme Rugby
French Pro D2
11.10.24	FC Grenoble - Valence Romans Drôme	44:22 ✺
27.09.24	Valence Romans Drôme - Agen	30:25 ✺
20.09.24	Colomiers - Valence Romans Drôme	24:17 ✺
13.09.24	Valence Romans Drôme - Béziers	22:29 ✺
06.09.24	Valence Romans Drôme - US Dax	29:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- US Montauban
French Pro D2
11.10.24	Montauban - Stade Aurillacois	31:20 ✺
27.09.24	Nevers - Montauban	13:16 ✺
20.09.24	Montauban - Biarritz	29:26 ✺
13.09.24	Provence Rugby - Montauban	30:26 ✺
06.09.24	Montauban - Mont-De-Marsan	35:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
16.02.24	Valence Romans Drôme - Montauban	21:13
18.08.23	Montauban - Valence Romans Drôme	20:3
23.04.21	Montauban - Valence Romans Drôme	40:35
22.12.20	Valence Romans Drôme - Montauban	14:10
10.01.20	Montauban - Valence Romans Drôme	30:3
06.09.19	Valence Romans Drôme - Montauban	19:26

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