Match Info

FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 10

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Rabine (Vannes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	C+ France
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	Vannes		Bordeaux Bègles

	1	X	2
	2.15	19	1.75
	2.1	21	1.73
	2.16	23	1.74
	2.19	24.06	1.75	Watch
	2.1	23	1.73
	2.1	17	1.73
	2.16	23	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.22)	21.44 ↑ (19.84)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vannes
42.9%

Draw
4.3%

Bordeaux Bègles
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

4.7%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vannes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vannes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vannes - Bordeaux Bègles Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:27

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vunipola M.	1. Poirot J. (C)
2. Beziat T.	2. Sa C.
3. Medrano S.	3. Sadie C.
4. Marks E.	4. Cazeaux C.
5. Metz F.	5. Coleman A.
6. Pedemonte J.	6. Diaby M.
7. Gorrissen F.	7. Matiu T.
8. Kalamafoni S.	8. Samu P.
9. Ruru M.	9. Lesgourgues Y.
10. Lafage M.	10. Jalibert M.
11. Rayasi S.	11. Retiere A.
12. Saili F.	12. Janse van Rensburg R.
13. Taccola R.	13. Tapuai B.
14. Ayarza I.	14. Uberti P.
15. Surano P.	15. Garcia M.
Substitutes
16. Blanchard C.	16. Latterrade R.
17. Berguet C.	17. Perchaud M.
18. van der Merwe C.	18. Ricard A.
19. Mezou T.	19. Bochaton P.
20. Kamikamica K.	20. Swinton L.
21. Varney S.	21. Carbery J.
22. Vili T.	22. Reybier E.
23. Bourgeois S.	23. Taufa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (29 - 7)
4', Ruru M. (Try),
4', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
13', Saili F. (Try),
13', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
18', Surano P. (Try),
30', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
32', Vunipola M. (Try),
32', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
40', Tapuai B. (Try),
40', Carbery J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 30)
42', Cazeaux C. (Try),
42', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
46', Retiere A. (Try),
61', (Penalty Try),
64', Cazeaux C. (Try),
66', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
75', Carbery J. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Vannes is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bordeaux Bègles is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Vannes
French Top 14
02.11.24	Perpignan - Vannes	32:13 ✺
26.10.24	Vannes - Castres	34:28 ✺
19.10.24	Clermont - Vannes	55:33 ✺
12.10.24	Montpellier - Vannes	26:24 ✺
05.10.24	Vannes - Racing Métro	24:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Union Bordeaux Bègles
French Top 14
02.11.24	Clermont - Bordeaux Bègles	32:27 ✺
26.10.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Section Paloise	19:6 ✺
20.10.24	La Rochelle - Bordeaux Bègles	32:22 ✺
12.10.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Perpignan	66:12 ✺
05.10.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais	30:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWW

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