Match Info

FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 14

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Rabine (Vannes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1


	Vannes		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.8	19	2.1
	1.8	19	2
	1.84	23	2.02
	1.86	23.92	2.04
	1.8	21	2.05
	1.83	17	2
	1.84	23	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.76)	20.85 ↓ (20.86)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vannes
50.4%

Draw
4.4%

Clermont
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

4.4%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

4.5%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vannes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vannes than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vannes - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Rayasi S.	. Fouyssac P.
1. Vunipola M.	5. Ceyte T.
2. Blanchard C.	7. Kremer M.
5. Metz F.	8. Lee F.
6. Augry S.	11. Raka A.
7. Gorrissen F.	12. Simone I.
8. Kalamafoni S.	14. Delguy B.
9. Ruru M.	15. Newsome A.
11. Camou R.	16. Massa B.
12. Arrate A.	17. Falgoux E.
13. Taccola R.	18. Lanen T.
15. Surano P.	20. Jauneau B.
18. Marks E.	21. Belleau A.
22. Lafage M.	22. Tixeront K.
23. Bourgeois S.	23. Montagne R.
Substitutes
. Boulier L.	. Akhaladze G.
. Saili F.	. Giral T.
3. Medrano S.	. Tauzin L.
16. Beziat T.	2. Fourcade E.
17. Moukoro T.	3. Ojovan C.
19. Mezou T.	6. Fischer A.
20. Edwards J.	9. Bezy S.
21. Varney S.	19. Yato P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 13)
3', Tixeront K. 🟨,
10', Camou R. (Try),
10', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
23', Belleau A. (Penalty Goal),
25', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
34', Montagne R. (Try),
34', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
40', Belleau A. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (9 - 7)
42', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
51', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
54', Newsome A. (Try),
54', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
66', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vannes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 33:55

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Vannes
French Top 14
28.12.24	Section Paloise - Vannes	48:24 ✺
21.12.24	Vannes - Aviron Bayonnais	21:27 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
14.12.24	Vannes - Gloucester	43:19 ✺
07.12.24	Black Lion - Vannes	22:19 ✺
French Top 14
30.11.24	La Rochelle - Vannes	14:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 LLWLW
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
28.12.24	Clermont - Montpellier	18:22 ✺
21.12.24	La Rochelle - Clermont	20:15 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.24	Leinster - Clermont	15:7 ✺
07.12.24	Clermont - Benetton Treviso	28:0 ✺
French Top 14
30.11.24	Clermont - Castres	54:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
19.10.24	Clermont - Vannes	55:33

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