Match Info

Top 14 - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Rabine (Vannes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4
United-kingdom	FloSports app
World	TOP 14 Rugby TV


	Vannes		Section Paloise

	1	X	2
	2.2	21	1.73
	2.11	23	1.75
	2.18	20.31	1.78	Watch
	2.07	22	1.72
	2.1	17	1.73
	2.11	23	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.07)	21.05 ↑ (20.32)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vannes
43.1%

Draw
4.4%

Section Paloise
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

4.6%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vannes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Vannes - Section Paloise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boniface U.	1. Kaulashvili L.
2. Cherry D.	2. Montoya J.
3. Schonert N.	3. Laclayat T.
4. Alemanno M.	4. Auradou H.
5. Desjeux M.	5. Picquette R.
6. Blanc-Mappaz S.	6. Grondona S.
7. Gorrissen F.	7. Zegueur S.
8. Edwards J.	8. Gorgadze B.
9. Ruru M.	9. Daubagna T.
10. Lafage M.	10. Desperes A.
11. Stevenson B.	11. Grandidier-Nkanang A.
12. Boudehent P.	12. Decron N.
13. Taccola R.	13. Manu T.
14. Surano P.	14. Rodrigo M.
15. Bouthier A.	15. Attissogbe T.
Substitutes
16. Sanerivi M.	16. Delhommel Y.
17. Djehi H.	17. Parrou H.
18. Marks E.	18. Jolmes T.
19. Kalamafoni S.	19. Pesenti B.
20. Augry S.	20. Couty R.
21. Kuruvoli S.	21. Garcia G.
22. Tabuavou I.	22. Mondinat C.
23. Bourgeois S.	23. Tokolahi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 40)
3', Kaulashvili L. 🟨,
11', Grandidier-Nkanang A. (Try),
11', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
13', Daubagna T. (Try),
13', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
16', Stevenson B. (Try),
16', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
18', Grandidier-Nkanang A. (Try),
18', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
25', Attissogbe T. (Try),
28', Desperes A. (Missed Conversion),
34', Desperes A. (Try),
34', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
39', Desperes A. (Try),
39', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Stevenson B. (Try),
40+1', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (26 - 3)
44', Ruru M. (Try),
45', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
48', Edwards J. (Try),
49', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
57', Gorrissen F. (Try),
59', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
75', Surano P. (Try),
77', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th in the Relegation - Pro D2 and 3rd in the Promotion - Top 14 Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vannes has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:100 (averaging 25:50 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vannes against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 26:52 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Section Paloise	5	4	0	1	204:155	18
14	Vannes	5	0	0	5	105:155	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Vannes
French Top 14
26.09.26	Toulon - Vannes	28:10 ✺
19.09.26	Vannes - Toulouse	23:29 ✺
12.09.26	Vannes - Montpellier	12:26 ✺
05.09.26	Castres - Vannes	29:20 ✺
French Pro D2
06.06.26	Vannes - Provence Rugby	18:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Section Paloise
French Top 14
26.09.26	Section Paloise - La Rochelle	39:17 ✺
19.09.26	Lyon - Section Paloise	51:25 ✺
12.09.26	Section Paloise - Aviron Bayonnais	70:28 ✺
05.09.26	Montpellier - Section Paloise	19:27 ✺
13.06.26	Section Paloise - Racing Métro	31:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
31.05.25	Vannes - Section Paloise	26:52
28.12.24	Section Paloise - Vannes	48:24

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