Match Info

Pro D2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade de la Rabine (Vannes)


	Vannes		Oyonnax Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.06	41	8.5
	1.07	40	7.6
	1.08	35.68	8.43	Watch
	1.06	34	7
	1.08	34	7.98
	1.05	20	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↑ (1.06)	34.11 ↓ (36.5)	7.99 ↓ (8.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vannes
85.8%

Draw
2.7%

Oyonnax Rugby
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.9%

2.5%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vannes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Oyonnax Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Vannes - Oyonnax Rugby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 7)
11', Debaes T. (Penalty Goal),
21', Debaes T. (Penalty Goal),
25', Qadiri K. (Try),
25', Holmes Z. (Conversion Goal),
27', Beziat T. (Try),
32', Boudehent P. (Try),
32', Debaes T. (Conversion Goal),
38', Debaes T. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (27 - 0)
51', Debaes T. (Penalty Goal),
59', Debaes T. (Penalty Goal),
65', Surano P. (Try),
66', Debaes T. (Conversion Goal),
71', Gorrissen F. (Try),
73', Bouthier A. (Conversion Goal),
76', Surano P. (Try),
76', Debaes T. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vannes won 3.

Vannes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oyonnax is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Oyonnax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vannes is the obvious favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vannes won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 297:352. (average 21.2:25.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vannes won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 150:113. (average 21.4:16.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	US Oyonnax	5	5	0	0	205:115	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Vannes
French Pro D2
15.05.26	Vannes - US Dax	47:0 ✺
07.05.26	Provence Rugby - Vannes	34:31 ✺
24.04.26	Vannes - Stade Aurillacois	61:24 ✺
17.04.26	SA XV Charente - Vannes	29:26 ✺
10.04.26	Vannes - Béziers	71:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLW
- Oyonnax Rugby
French Pro D2
21.05.26	Oyonnax Rugby - Valence Romans Drôme	39:14 ✺
15.05.26	Oyonnax Rugby - Stade Aurillacois	36:25 ✺
08.05.26	Nevers - Oyonnax Rugby	26:47 ✺
24.04.26	Oyonnax Rugby - Agen	39:12 ✺
17.04.26	FC Grenoble - Oyonnax Rugby	31:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
29.01.26	Oyonnax Rugby - Vannes	29:32
16.10.25	Vannes - Oyonnax Rugby	36:17
20.05.23	Oyonnax Rugby - Vannes	26:21
17.03.23	Vannes - Oyonnax Rugby	17:7
14.10.22	Oyonnax Rugby - Vannes	56:7
11.02.22	Oyonnax Rugby - Vannes	26:7
23.09.21	Vannes - Oyonnax Rugby	6:23

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