Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 29

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Foot


	Provence Rugby		Vannes

	1	X	2
	1.62	21	2.38
	1.57	25	2.42
	1.58	22.86	2.5	Watch
	1.53	26	2.4
	1.55	19	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.96)	22.77 ↑ (17.94)	2.43 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Rugby
58.3%

Draw
4%

Vannes
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

5.2%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Provence Rugby's performance.

Vannes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vannes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Provence Rugby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vannes than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vannes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Provence Rugby - Vannes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Provence will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vannes will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 24)
2nd Half (34 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 2.

Recent performances by Provence Rugby have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vannes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Provence Rugby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Provence Rugby will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 287:328. (average 22.1:25.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Provence Rugby won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 168:122. (average 28:20.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Provence Rugby	5	5	0	0	160:108	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
24.04.26	Provence Rugby - SA XV Charente	51:20 ✺
17.04.26	Béziers - Provence Rugby	30:31 ✺
10.04.26	Provence Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	42:33 ✺
03.04.26	Brive - Provence Rugby	53:13 ✺
26.03.26	Provence Rugby - Colomiers	20:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL
- RC Vannes
French Pro D2
24.04.26	Vannes - Stade Aurillacois	61:24 ✺
17.04.26	SA XV Charente - Vannes	29:26 ✺
10.04.26	Vannes - Béziers	71:0 ✺
03.04.26	Agen - Vannes	22:49 ✺
27.03.26	Vannes - Nevers	52:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
19.09.25	Vannes - Provence Rugby	40:7
16.02.24	Provence Rugby - Vannes	16:13
08.12.23	Vannes - Provence Rugby	17:27
03.03.23	Provence Rugby - Vannes	20:35
16.12.22	Vannes - Provence Rugby	35:21
08.04.22	Provence Rugby - Vannes	25:17
19.11.21	Vannes - Provence Rugby	25:22

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