Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Waikato Stadium (Hamilton) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	00:35	Disney+
Australia	13:35	Stan Sport
Brazil	00:35	Disney+
Chile	00:35	Disney+
Colombia	22:35	Disney+
Mexico	21:35	Disney+
Peru	22:35	Disney+
Uruguay	00:35	Disney+
Venezuela	23:35	Disney+


	Waikato		Northland

	1	X	2
	1.67	21	2.25
	1.61	22	2.36
	1.98	20.40	1.90	Watch
				Watch
	1.72	19	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.52)	20.6 ↓ (25)	2.18 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waikato
53%

Draw
4.5%

Northland
42.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.4%

3.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

3.6%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waikato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waikato's form might have worsened.

Northland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Northland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waikato than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waikato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northland than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Waikato - Northland Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Waikato will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Northland will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Northland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 12)
2nd Half (11 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waikato won 3.

Waikato has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Northland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Waikato might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Waikato will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Waikato won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 277:256. (average 30.8:28.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Waikato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 111:67. (average 37:22.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waikato
New Zealand NPC
27.09.25	Bay of Plenty - Waikato	41:5 ✺
20.09.25	Tasman - Waikato	24:29 ✺
12.09.25	Waikato - North Harbour	29:28 ✺
05.09.25	Manawatu - Waikato	36:26 ✺
31.08.25	Waikato - Southland	10:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWLL
- Northland
New Zealand NPC
27.09.25	Northland - Canterbury	19:19 ✺
20.09.25	North Harbour - Northland	21:22 ✺
11.09.25	Northland - Wellington	43:26 ✺
05.09.25	Otago - Northland	29:10 ✺
30.08.25	Northland - Hawkes Bay	27:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
04.09.24	Waikato - Northland	32:19
13.08.22	Northland - Waikato	10:16
01.10.21	Northland - Waikato	38:28
13.11.20	Northland - Waikato	28:17
19.10.18	Waikato - Northland	48:26
05.10.18	Northland - Waikato	28:71
09.09.17	Northland - Waikato	37:7

Waikato - Northland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide