Match Info

English Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Eurosport 1
Denmark	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	TNT Eurosport 1, TNT Sports 4


	Aaron Hill		Ali Carter

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.41	Watch
	2.54	1.5
	2.55	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.63)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aaron Hill
35.8%

Ali Carter
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aaron Hill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ali Carter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aaron Hill than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ali Carter than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Preview

Hill is ranked World Ranking: 45. Carter is ranked World Ranking: 18.

Hill is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carter's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carter is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hill won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Ali Carter - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.68%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aaron Hill
Snooker
16.09.25	Stephen Maguire - Aaron Hill	2:4 ✺
14.09.25	Aaron Hill - Yao Pengcheng	4:2 ✺
07.09.25	Aaron Hill - Gao Yang	4:1 ✺
03.09.25	Aaron Hill - Liu Wenwei	5:2 ✺
27.08.25	Anda Zhang - Aaron Hill	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL
- Ali Carter
Snooker
16.09.25	Ali Carter - Marco Fu	4:2 ✺
01.09.25	Ali Carter - Allan Taylor	5:1 ✺
24.08.25	Jackson Page - Ali Carter	5:3 ✺
14.08.25	Ali Carter - Neil Robertson	4:6 ✺
13.08.25	Oliver Lines - Ali Carter	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
17.02.21	Ali Carter - Aaron Hill	4:1

Aaron Hill - Ali Carter: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide