Match Info

English Open - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Barry Hawkins		Louis Heathcote

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.14	4.71	Watch
	1.3	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	3.71 ↑ (3.4)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barry Hawkins
74.7%

Louis Heathcote
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barry Hawkins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Louis Heathcote has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Hawkins than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barry Hawkins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louis Heathcote than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louis Heathcote could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Hawkins is ranked World Ranking: 12. Heathcote is ranked World Ranking: 90.

Hawkins has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heathcote is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hawkins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hawkins is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hawkins won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barry Hawkins
Snooker
03.09.25	Barry Hawkins - Hatem Yassin	5:0 ✺
27.08.25	Barry Hawkins - Stan Moody	0:5 ✺
26.08.25	Jak Jones - Barry Hawkins	3:5 ✺
24.08.25	Jamie Jones - Barry Hawkins	4:5 ✺
14.08.25	Barry Hawkins - Chris Wakelin	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL
- Louis Heathcote
Snooker
13.09.25	Jordan Brown - Louis Heathcote	3:4 ✺
11.09.25	Louis Heathcote - Mahmoud El Hareedy	4:1 ✺
07.09.25	Duane Jones - Louis Heathcote	2:4 ✺
05.09.25	Louis Heathcote - Sahil Nayyar	4:0 ✺
01.09.25	Lei Peifan - Louis Heathcote	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
03.09.23	Barry Hawkins - Louis Heathcote	5:1
18.10.22	Louis Heathcote - Barry Hawkins	0:4

Barry Hawkins - Louis Heathcote: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide