Match Info

UK Championship - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: York Barbican (York)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Barry Hawkins		Mark Selby

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.52	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.59	1.46	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.57)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barry Hawkins
36.4%

Mark Selby
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barry Hawkins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mark Selby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Hawkins than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Selby than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Preview

Hawkins is ranked World Ranking: 14. Selby is ranked World Ranking: 11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkins won 2.

Now, both players are in good form.

Selby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Selby will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Selby will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawkins won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 64:67. (average 3.2:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barry Hawkins
Snooker
04.12.25	Elliot Slessor - Barry Hawkins	0:6 ✺
02.12.25	Barry Hawkins - David Lilley	6:4 ✺
06.11.25	Wu Yize - Barry Hawkins	6:0 ✺
05.11.25	Barry Hawkins - Jack Lisowski	6:4 ✺
04.11.25	Jak Jones - Barry Hawkins	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- Mark Selby
Snooker
03.12.25	Mark Selby - Yuelong Zhou	6:2 ✺
02.12.25	Mark Selby - Lei Peifan	6:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mark Selby - Judd Trump	5:10 ✺
15.11.25	Mark Selby - Neil Robertson	6:2 ✺
12.11.25	Mark Williams - Mark Selby	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
21.02.24	Barry Hawkins - Mark Selby	3:6
29.11.23	Mark Selby - Barry Hawkins	6:5
26.08.23	Mark Selby - Barry Hawkins	4:6
14.01.22	Barry Hawkins - Mark Selby	6:1
14.12.21	Barry Hawkins - Mark Selby	1:4
11.02.21	Mark Selby - Barry Hawkins	2:3
08.02.21	Mark Selby - Barry Hawkins	0:3

Barry Hawkins - Mark Selby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide