What is the expert prediction for Ben Mertens vs Alexander Ursenbacher?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Ben Mertens vs Alexander Ursenbacher. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Ben Mertens vs Alexander Ursenbacher Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, January 06, 2026)

Match Info

German Masters - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1


	Ben Mertens		Alexander Ursenbacher

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.71	2.04
	1.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 (1.74)	2.02 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Mertens
53.7%

Alexander Ursenbacher
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Alexander Ursenbacher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

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Preview

Mertens is ranked World Ranking: 67. Ursenbacher is ranked World Ranking: 117.

Recent performances by Mertens have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Mertens will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

The players have not played against each other recently.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Mertens
Snooker
17.12.25	Ben Mertens - Thepchaiya Un-Nooh	2:4 ✺
16.12.25	Mark Williams - Ben Mertens	Mertens B. walkover ✺
13.12.25	Ben Mertens - Robbie McGuigan	48:21 ✺
12.12.25	Ben Mertens - Liam Graham	36:23 ✺
10.12.25	Ben Woollaston - Ben Mertens	30:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 L?WWW
- Alexander Ursenbacher
Snooker
11.12.25	Daniel Womersley - Alexander Ursenbacher	Canceled ✺
22.11.25	Liam Highfield - Alexander Ursenbacher	Highfield L. walkover ✺
17.10.25	He Guoqiang - Alexander Ursenbacher	4:1 ✺
16.10.25	Bulcsu Revesz - Alexander Ursenbacher	1:4 ✺
01.10.25	Elliot Slessor - Alexander Ursenbacher	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ??LWL