Match Info

Scottish Open - Qualification - Final

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	HBO Max


	Ben Mertens		Julien Leclercq

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.12	5.21	Watch
	1.63	2.19
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.63)	2.95 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Mertens
66.3%

Julien Leclercq
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ben Mertens's performance.

Julien Leclercq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Julien Leclercq might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Mertens than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ben Mertens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julien Leclercq than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Julien Leclercq could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ben Mertens - Julien Leclercq Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Mertens is ranked World Ranking: 68. Leclercq is ranked World Ranking: 81.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mertens will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mertens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Mertens
Snooker
30.09.25	Matthew Selt - Ben Mertens	3:6 ✺
25.09.25	John Higgins - Ben Mertens	4:1 ✺
25.09.25	Ben Mertens - Robbie McGuigan	4:0 ✺
24.09.25	Ben Mertens - Reanne Evans	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ishpreet Chadha - Ben Mertens	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL
- Julien Leclercq
Snooker
14.10.25	Julien Leclercq - Umut Dikme	4:0 ✺
30.09.25	Sijun Yuan - Julien Leclercq	6:2 ✺
13.09.25	Zhengyi Fan - Julien Leclercq	4:2 ✺
11.09.25	Julien Leclercq - Aidan Murphy	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Thepchaiya Un-Nooh - Julien Leclercq	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
08.04.23	Julien Leclercq - Ben Mertens	6:10

Ben Mertens - Julien Leclercq: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide