Match Info

Date: 4 February 2021, Thursday


	Billy Joe Castle		Mark Selby

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.38	1.35
	3.3	1.33
	3.32	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)	1.32 (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billy Joe Castle
28.3%

Mark Selby
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billy Joe Castle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mark Selby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billy Joe Castle than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Billy Joe Castle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Selby than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mark Selby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Billy Joe Castle - Mark Selby Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Castle will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Selby will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Selby: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Castle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Selby is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castle won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billy Joe Castle
Snooker
21.01.21	Stephen Craigie - Billy Joe Castle	2:0 ✺
21.01.21	Chris Wakelin - Billy Joe Castle	2:1 ✺
21.01.21	Jamie Rhys Clarke - Billy Joe Castle	2:0 ✺
21.01.21	Ashley Carty - Billy Joe Castle	0:2 ✺
21.01.21	Billy Joe Castle - Jamie Curtis-Barrett	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWW
- Mark Selby
Snooker
12.01.21	Mark Selby - Stephen Maguire	3:6 ✺
09.01.21	Mark Selby - Scott Donaldson	2:3 ✺
09.01.21	Mark Selby - John Higgins	3:2 ✺
09.01.21	Mark Selby - Matthew Selt	0:3 ✺
08.01.21	Mark Selby - Kyren Wilson	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
20.12.18	Mark Selby - Billy Joe Castle	5:1

Billy Joe Castle - Mark Selby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide