Match Info

Date: 30 November 2020, Monday


	David Grace		Guodong Xiao

	1	2
	2.62	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.5	1.53
	2.45	1.49
	2.58	1.54
	2.38	1.57
	2.41	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.58)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Grace
38%

Guodong Xiao
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Grace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Guodong Xiao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Grace than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with David Grace that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guodong Xiao than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guodong Xiao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

David Grace - Guodong Xiao Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Grace will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Xiao will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Xiao: 29.6% – 90.4%.

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Preview

Grace is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Guodong is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grace could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guodong will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grace won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31-63.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Grace
Snooker
28.11.20	Ding Junhui - David Grace	5:6 ✺
23.11.20	Ian Burns - David Grace	4:6 ✺
21.11.20	Judd Trump - David Grace	6:2 ✺
20.11.20	David Grace - Bingtao Yan	5:2 ✺
19.11.20	Michael Holt - David Grace	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWLWW
- Guodong Xiao
Snooker
28.11.20	Luca Brecel - Guodong Xiao	5:6 ✺
26.11.20	Guodong Xiao - Brandon Sargeant	6:1 ✺
18.11.20	Ali Carter - Guodong Xiao	4:1 ✺
16.11.20	Guodong Xiao - Duane Jones	4:1 ✺
13.11.20	Guodong Xiao - Mark Davis	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
08.02.18	David Grace - Guodong Xiao	31:63

David Grace - Guodong Xiao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide