Match Info

UK Championship - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: York Barbican (York)


	Ding Junhui		Scott Donaldson

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.22	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.3	3.35
	1.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 (1.3)	3.39 ↑ (3.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ding Junhui
72.3%

Scott Donaldson
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ding Junhui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Scott Donaldson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ding Junhui than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ding Junhui that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scott Donaldson than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scott Donaldson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ding Junhui - Scott Donaldson Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Junhui will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Junhui (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Junhui is ranked World Ranking: 8. Donaldson is ranked World Ranking: 52.

Junhui has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Donaldson is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Donaldson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Junhui is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Junhui won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 2.8:4.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ding Junhui - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 72.1%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ding Junhui
Snooker
01.12.25	Ding Junhui - Xu Si	6:4 ✺
19.11.25	John Higgins - Ding Junhui	4:0 ✺
19.11.25	Ding Junhui - Ayman Alamri	4:0 ✺
05.11.25	Ding Junhui - Shaun Murphy	2:6 ✺
04.11.25	Ding Junhui - Liam Highfield	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW
- Scott Donaldson
Snooker
01.12.25	Mark Allen - Scott Donaldson	1:6 ✺
26.11.25	Scott Donaldson - Stuart Bingham	6:5 ✺
25.11.25	Anthony McGill - Scott Donaldson	1:6 ✺
23.11.25	Scott Donaldson - Ross Muir	6:5 ✺
05.11.25	Scott Donaldson - John Higgins	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
04.02.20	Ding Junhui - Scott Donaldson	0:4
30.01.20	Scott Donaldson - Ding Junhui	5:4
23.01.20	Ding Junhui - Scott Donaldson	2:5
19.09.16	Ding Junhui - Scott Donaldson	5:4

Ding Junhui - Scott Donaldson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide