Match Info
Welsh Open - 1/16-finalsDate: 25 February 2026, Wednesday
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Gary Wilson |
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Sam Craigie |
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- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gary Wilson 59.6% | Sam Craigie 40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gary Wilson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Sam Craigie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gary Wilson than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sam Craigie than the current prediction. (+2.5%) 
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Preview
Wilson is ranked World Ranking: 23. Craigie is ranked World Ranking: 89.Wilson has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Craigie is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Wilson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Wilson could have a small edge in this match. Recently, the players have not faced each other.
Last Results with these Odds
Gary Wilson - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.95%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;