Match Info

International Championship - Qualification - Final

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	HBO Max


	Jack Lisowski		Ashley Carty

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.22	3.65	Watch
	1.24	3.5
	1.24	3.78	Watch
	1.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.22)	3.76 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Lisowski
75.2%

Ashley Carty
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Lisowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ashley Carty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

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Preview

Lisowski is ranked World Ranking: 17., and Carty is ranked World Ranking: 93..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Carty may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Lisowski for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lisowski has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 2:2.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Lisowski
Snooker
08.09.26	Jack Lisowski - Zhengyi Fan	2:4 ✺
04.09.26	Mark Selby - Jack Lisowski	5:0 ✺
03.09.26	Haotian Lyu - Jack Lisowski	1:4 ✺
02.09.26	Ishpreet Chadha - Jack Lisowski	3:4 ✺
01.09.26	Mitchell Mann - Jack Lisowski	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW
- Ashley Carty
Snooker
14.09.26	Leone Crowley - Ashley Carty	4:1 ✺
09.09.26	Judd Trump - Ashley Carty	4:1 ✺
08.09.26	Lei Peifan - Ashley Carty	3:4 ✺
02.09.26	Long Zehuang - Ashley Carty	4:2 ✺
31.08.26	Ashley Carty - Si Jiahui	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
08.07.25	Jack Lisowski - Ashley Carty	3:1
16.11.20	Jack Lisowski - Ashley Carty	1:4

Jack Lisowski - Ashley Carty: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide