Match Info

Welsh Open - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:


	Jack Lisowski		Louis Heathcote

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Jack Lisowski
69.1%

Louis Heathcote
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Lisowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Louis Heathcote has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Lisowski than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louis Heathcote than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

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Lisowski is ranked World Ranking: 22. Heathcote is ranked World Ranking: 74.

Lisowski is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Heathcote has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lisowski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lisowski is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lisowski won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:17. (average 4.3:4.3).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Lisowski
Snooker
17.02.26	Mark Selby - Jack Lisowski	6:3 ✺
12.02.26	Jack Lisowski - Gong Chenzhi	5:2 ✺
03.02.26	Jack Lisowski - Chang Bingyu	4:5 ✺
28.01.26	Jack Lisowski - Guodong Xiao	1:5 ✺
24.01.26	Jack Lisowski - Jimmy Robertson	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Louis Heathcote
Snooker
10.02.26	Mark Allen - Louis Heathcote	5:2 ✺
10.01.26	Zak Surety - Louis Heathcote	3:4 ✺
09.01.26	Louis Heathcote - Jonas Luz	4:1 ✺
07.01.26	Ishpreet Chadha - Louis Heathcote	5:4 ✺
05.01.26	Louis Heathcote - Chatchapong Nasa	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW

Snooker
25.11.25	Jack Lisowski - Louis Heathcote	2:6
03.11.25	Louis Heathcote - Jack Lisowski	4:6
16.03.23	Jack Lisowski - Louis Heathcote	4:3
28.01.21	Louis Heathcote - Jack Lisowski	4:5

Jack Lisowski - Louis Heathcote