The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Joe Perry 46.8%
Bingtao Yan 53.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joe Perry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Bingtao Yan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joe Perry than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bingtao Yan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Joe Perry - Bingtao Yan Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Perry will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Yan will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Yan: 56% – 94%.