Match Info

Championship League

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Kyren Wilson		Guodong Xiao

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.60	2.17	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)	2.29 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyren Wilson
59%

Guodong Xiao
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyren Wilson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Guodong Xiao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyren Wilson than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guodong Xiao than the current prediction. (+2%)

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Preview

Wilson is ranked World Ranking: 2. Xiao is ranked World Ranking: 11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilson won 2.

In recent matches, Wilson has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Xiao is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wilson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wilson could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wilson won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 49:33. (average 3.1:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Kyren Wilson - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.53%, but this team recently wins 74% of matches with these odds.

Guodong Xiao - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.47%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyren Wilson
Snooker
09.01.26	Kyren Wilson - Matthew Selt	0:3 ✺
08.01.26	Kyren Wilson - Neil Robertson	2:3 ✺
08.01.26	Kyren Wilson - Gary Wilson	3:2 ✺
08.01.26	Kyren Wilson - Zhao Xintong	3:2 ✺
18.12.25	Kyren Wilson - Chang Bingyu	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL
- Guodong Xiao
Snooker
09.01.26	Neil Robertson - Guodong Xiao	2:3 ✺
08.01.26	Guodong Xiao - Matthew Selt	3:2 ✺
08.01.26	Guodong Xiao - Ben Woollaston	1:3 ✺
08.01.26	Zhao Xintong - Guodong Xiao	0:3 ✺
07.01.26	Guodong Xiao - Antoni Kowalski	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
04.02.25	Kyren Wilson - Guodong Xiao	0:3
01.02.25	Guodong Xiao - Kyren Wilson	2:6
08.10.24	Guodong Xiao - Kyren Wilson	5:4
07.02.24	Kyren Wilson - Guodong Xiao	1:3
05.02.24	Kyren Wilson - Guodong Xiao	3:0
02.03.23	Kyren Wilson - Guodong Xiao	3:1
06.01.22	Kyren Wilson - Guodong Xiao	3:0

Kyren Wilson - Guodong Xiao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide