Match Info

ENGLAND: English Open - Qualification - Final

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday


	Liu Hongyu		Ashley Carty

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)	2.37 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liu Hongyu
60.6%

Ashley Carty
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liu Hongyu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ashley Carty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liu Hongyu than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liu Hongyu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashley Carty than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ashley Carty could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Hongyu is ranked World Ranking: 65. Carty is ranked World Ranking: 67.

Recent matches Hongyu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carty is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carty could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hongyu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hongyu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liu Hongyu
Snooker
03.09.24	Kyren Wilson - Liu Hongyu	5:3 ✺
02.09.24	Ashley Carty - Liu Hongyu	2:5 ✺
01.09.24	Ricky Walden - Liu Hongyu	1:4 ✺
31.08.24	Liu Hongyu - Michael Holt	4:2 ✺
19.08.24	Mark Allen - Liu Hongyu	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL
- Ashley Carty
Snooker
12.09.24	Ashley Carty - Anton Kazakov	4:2 ✺
02.09.24	Ashley Carty - Liu Hongyu	2:5 ✺
01.09.24	Anthony McGill - Ashley Carty	1:4 ✺
31.08.24	Ashley Carty - Chris Totten	4:0 ✺
01.08.24	Amir Sarkhosh - Ashley Carty	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
02.09.24	Ashley Carty - Liu Hongyu	2:5
18.07.23	Ashley Carty - Liu Hongyu	1:3

Liu Hongyu - Ashley Carty: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide