What is the expert prediction for Luca Brecel vs Ian Burns?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Luca Brecel vs Ian Burns. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Luca Brecel vs Ian Burns Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, July 10, 2026)

Match Info

Championship League - Second stage

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Luca Brecel		Ian Burns

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	4.10
			Watch
	1.22	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 (1.22)	4 (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Brecel
76.6%

Ian Burns
23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Luca Brecel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Ian Burns have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

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Preview

Brecel is ranked World Ranking: 44. Burns is ranked World Ranking: 96.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brecel won 4.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Brecel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brecel won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 4:1.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Brecel
Snooker
10.07.26	Junxu Pang - Luca Brecel	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	Hossein Vafaei Ayouri - Luca Brecel	3:0
08.07.26	Aaron Hill - Luca Brecel	1:3 ✺
08.07.26	Luca Brecel - Haohui Deng	3:0 ✺
08.07.26	Luca Brecel - Mitchell Mann	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWWW
- Ian Burns
Snooker
10.07.26	Hossein Vafaei Ayouri - Ian Burns	3:1
10.07.26	Junxu Pang - Ian Burns	1:3 ✺
23.06.26	Steven Hallworth - Ian Burns	1:3 ✺
23.06.26	Ian Burns - Jeff Cundy	3:0
23.06.26	Ian Burns - Jamie ONeill	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
24.11.25	Luca Brecel - Ian Burns	3:6
13.10.20	Ian Burns - Luca Brecel	0:4
28.02.19	Luca Brecel - Ian Burns	4:0
14.11.18	Luca Brecel - Ian Burns	4:0
07.07.18	Luca Brecel - Ian Burns	5:1
15.02.16	Luca Brecel - Ian Burns	4:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ian Burns
Snooker
19.07.26	Ian Burns - Jimmy White	✺

Luca Brecel - Ian Burns: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide