Match Info

International Championship - Qualification - Final

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	HBO Max


	Luca Brecel		Jamie Rhys Clarke

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3.10
	1.31	3.06	Watch
	1.3	3.05
	1.33	3.14
	1.34	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	3.13 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Brecel
70.3%

Jamie Rhys Clarke
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Brecel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Jamie Rhys Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Brecel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jamie Rhys Clarke than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Preview

Brecel is ranked World Ranking: 43., and Clarke is ranked World Ranking: 94..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Brecel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Brecel is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Brecel has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 4.5:2.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Brecel
Snooker
16.09.26	Luca Brecel - Mitchell Mann	4:1 ✺
31.08.26	Chris Wakelin - Luca Brecel	4:3 ✺
26.07.26	Luca Brecel - Antoni Kowalski	3:4 ✺
22.07.26	Junxu Pang - Luca Brecel	5:2 ✺
20.07.26	Luca Brecel - Julien Leclercq	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW
- Jamie Rhys Clarke
Snooker
14.09.26	Dylan Emery - Jamie Rhys Clarke	4:0 ✺
09.09.26	Jamie Rhys Clarke - Shaun Murphy	0:4 ✺
08.09.26	David Gilbert - Jamie Rhys Clarke	3:4 ✺
01.09.26	Elliot Slessor - Jamie Rhys Clarke	4:1 ✺
26.07.26	Ryan Day - Jamie Rhys Clarke	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
12.06.26	Luca Brecel - Jamie Rhys Clarke	6:5
28.07.22	Luca Brecel - Jamie Rhys Clarke	3:0

Luca Brecel - Jamie Rhys Clarke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide