Match Info

WORLD: WORLD GRAND PRIX - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: The Centaur (Cheltenham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Russia	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
World	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Luca Brecel		Joe Perry

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.62	2.3
	1.58	2.23
	1.64	2.39
	1.67	2.2
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.61	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.61)	2.27 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Brecel
58.4%

Joe Perry
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Brecel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Joe Perry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Brecel than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joe Perry than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Luca Brecel - Joe Perry Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Brecel will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Perry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Brecel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brecel won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 51-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Brecel
Snooker
09.01.23	Ronnie O`Sullivan - Luca Brecel	6:1 ✺
18.12.22	Mark Selby - Luca Brecel	9:6 ✺
17.12.22	Luca Brecel - Mark Allen	6:2 ✺
16.12.22	Judd Trump - Luca Brecel	1:5 ✺
15.12.22	Luca Brecel - Jamie Jones	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWWW
- Joe Perry
Snooker
30.11.22	Joe Perry - Neil Robertson	1:4 ✺
29.11.22	Graeme Dott - Joe Perry	3:4 ✺
25.11.22	Joe Perry - Ryan Thomerson	5:1 ✺
24.11.22	Joe Perry - Oliver Lines	5:3 ✺
18.11.22	Joe Perry - Tom Ford	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
21.01.22	Luca Brecel - Joe Perry	40:20
07.12.21	Joe Perry - Luca Brecel	2:4
19.03.21	Joe Perry - Luca Brecel	1:2
29.01.20	Luca Brecel - Joe Perry	5:0
21.01.19	Joe Perry - Luca Brecel	Canceled

Luca Brecel - Joe Perry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide