Match Info

World Grand Prix - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kai Tak Arena (Hongkong)


	Mark Allen		Ali Carter

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.07	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.68	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Allen
55.8%

Ali Carter
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Allen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ali Carter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Allen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ali Carter than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Mark Allen - Ali Carter Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Frames - Carter (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carter (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Allen is ranked World Ranking: 9. Carter is ranked World Ranking: 20.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Allen won 2.

Allen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carter is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Allen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Allen won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:30. (average 3.5:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Allen - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.5%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Allen
Snooker
29.01.26	Mark Allen - Shaun Murphy	0:5 ✺
28.01.26	Gao Yang - Mark Allen	3:5 ✺
26.01.26	Mark Allen - Oliver Lines	5:3 ✺
15.01.26	Judd Trump - Mark Allen	6:2 ✺
12.01.26	Mark Williams - Mark Allen	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW
- Ali Carter
Snooker
31.01.26	Judd Trump - Ali Carter	6:2 ✺
30.01.26	Ali Carter - Stuart Bingham	5:1 ✺
29.01.26	Xu Si - Ali Carter	0:5 ✺
28.01.26	Ronnie O`Sullivan - Ali Carter	3:5 ✺
08.01.26	Ali Carter - Ricky Walden	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
18.05.25	Ali Carter - Mark Allen	4:5
23.02.24	Ali Carter - Mark Allen	3:6
13.01.24	Ali Carter - Mark Allen	6:3
13.10.23	Mark Allen - Ali Carter	2:5
18.02.21	Ali Carter - Mark Allen	4:2
07.08.19	Mark Allen - Ali Carter	6:2
07.02.19	Mark Allen - Ali Carter	1:4

Mark Allen - Ali Carter: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide