Match Info

ENGLAND: ENGLISH OPEN - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Discovery+
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Mark Williams		Guodong Xiao

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.37	2.92
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.86	Watch
	1.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	2.86 ↑ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Williams
67%

Guodong Xiao
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Williams has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Guodong Xiao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Williams than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Williams that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guodong Xiao than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guodong Xiao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Williams in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Xiao is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Williams could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Williams will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Williams won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32-32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Williams
Snooker
03.10.23	Mark Williams - Ian Burns	4:0 ✺
01.10.23	Mark Williams - Mark Selby	10:7 ✺
30.09.23	Mark Williams - Hossein Vafaei Ayouri	6:3 ✺
29.09.23	Mark Williams - Zhengyi Fan	5:1 ✺
28.09.23	Ding Junhui - Mark Williams	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW
- Guodong Xiao
Snooker
30.09.23	Guodong Xiao - Mark Selby	0:6 ✺
29.09.23	Tom Ford - Guodong Xiao	3:5 ✺
28.09.23	Ali Carter - Guodong Xiao	2:4 ✺
28.09.23	Guodong Xiao - Sanderson Lam	4:1 ✺
26.09.23	Anthony Hamilton - Guodong Xiao	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
21.03.21	Mark Williams - Guodong Xiao	2:1
07.02.21	Guodong Xiao - Mark Williams	28:29
09.02.15	Guodong Xiao - Mark Williams	3:1

Mark Williams - Guodong Xiao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide