Match Info

International Championship - Qualification - Final

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	HBO Max


	Matthew Selt		Ross Muir

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.34	3.10
	1.31	3.06	Watch
	1.32	3.00
	1.33	3.14
	1.34	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	3.13 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Selt
70.2%

Ross Muir
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Selt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ross Muir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Selt than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross Muir than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

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Preview

Selt is ranked World Ranking: 47., and Muir is ranked World Ranking: 80..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Selt could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Selt for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Selt has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 3.5:2.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Selt - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 70.02%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Selt
Snooker
15.09.26	Matthew Selt - Antoni Kowalski	4:0 ✺
09.09.26	Mark Williams - Matthew Selt	4:3 ✺
08.09.26	Hossein Vafaei Ayouri - Matthew Selt	1:4 ✺
09.08.26	Shaun Murphy - Matthew Selt	6:0 ✺
26.07.26	Matthew Selt - Duane Jones	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW
- Ross Muir
Snooker
15.09.26	Aaron Hill - Ross Muir	4:3 ✺
13.09.26	Ross Muir - Andrew Higginson	4:1 ✺
09.09.26	Junxu Pang - Ross Muir	4:3 ✺
08.09.26	Guodong Xiao - Ross Muir	3:4 ✺
03.09.26	Ross Muir - Zhengyi Fan	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
12.02.24	Ross Muir - Matthew Selt	1:4
19.06.14	Matthew Selt - Ross Muir	3:4

Matthew Selt - Ross Muir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide