Match Info

ENGLAND: ENGLISH OPEN - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 December 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Brentwood Centre (Brentwood) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	16:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	16:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	17:00	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	16:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	16:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	16:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	16:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	16:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	16:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	16:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	15:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Russia	18:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	16:00	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	18:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
International	15:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Scott Donaldson		Luca Brecel

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.38	1.57
	2.37	1.52
	2.43	1.61
	2.38	1.57
	2.36	1.56	Watch
	2.43	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.37)	1.55 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scott Donaldson
39.2%

Luca Brecel
60.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scott Donaldson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Luca Brecel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scott Donaldson than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Brecel than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Scott Donaldson - Luca Brecel Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Brecel will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Donaldson is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brecel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brecel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brecel will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Brecel to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Donaldson won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scott Donaldson
Snooker
13.12.22	Mark Davis - Scott Donaldson	2:4 ✺
30.11.22	Anthony McGill - Scott Donaldson	4:3 ✺
29.11.22	Scott Donaldson - Shaun Murphy	4:0 ✺
26.11.22	Scott Donaldson - Yupeng Cao	3:5 ✺
25.11.22	Matthew Selt - Scott Donaldson	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLW
- Luca Brecel
Snooker
14.12.22	Oliver Lines - Luca Brecel	2:4 ✺
12.12.22	Luca Brecel - Mark Joyce	4:3 ✺
28.11.22	Luca Brecel - Fraser Patrick	3:4 ✺
26.11.22	Barry Pinches - Luca Brecel	2:5 ✺
24.11.22	Luca Brecel - Chang Bingyu	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
12.02.20	Luca Brecel - Scott Donaldson	4:2
02.03.19	Luca Brecel - Scott Donaldson	3:4
06.08.18	Scott Donaldson - Luca Brecel	4:5
25.02.17	Luca Brecel - Scott Donaldson	1:0
04.10.16	Luca Brecel - Scott Donaldson	3:4

Scott Donaldson - Luca Brecel