Match Info

Grand Prix - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Eurosport 1
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	Shaun Murphy		Ding Junhui

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.30	3.15	Watch
	1.61	2.23
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	2.48 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaun Murphy
61.9%

Ding Junhui
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaun Murphy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ding Junhui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ding Junhui than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Preview

Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 12. Junhui is ranked World Ranking: 8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 3.

Murphy has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Junhui is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Junhui may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Murphy could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 4.3:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
10.10.25	Kyren Wilson - Shaun Murphy	0:5 ✺
09.10.25	Shaun Murphy - Wu Yize	5:4 ✺
07.10.25	Shaun Murphy - Long Zehuang	5:0 ✺
01.10.25	Shaun Murphy - Yao Pengcheng	6:1 ✺
28.09.25	Anthony McGill - Shaun Murphy	7:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- Ding Junhui
Snooker
10.10.25	Oliver Lines - Ding Junhui	1:5 ✺
09.10.25	Louis Heathcote - Ding Junhui	3:5 ✺
08.10.25	Jordan Brown - Ding Junhui	1:5 ✺
07.10.25	Ding Junhui - Sam Craigie	5:1 ✺
18.09.25	Mark Allen - Ding Junhui	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
26.02.25	Ding Junhui - Shaun Murphy	2:5
18.12.24	Shaun Murphy - Ding Junhui	0:4
27.11.24	Shaun Murphy - Ding Junhui	6:5
21.03.24	Ding Junhui - Shaun Murphy	5:3
05.11.18	Shaun Murphy - Ding Junhui	6:3
08.02.17	Shaun Murphy - Ding Junhui	4:3
12.03.16	Shaun Murphy - Ding Junhui	6:3

Shaun Murphy - Ding Junhui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide