The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shaun Murphy 69.4%
Hossein Vafaei Ayouri 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.3%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.4%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shaun Murphy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Hossein Vafaei Ayouri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hossein Vafaei Ayouri than the current prediction. (+4%)
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Preview
Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 7., and Vafaei Ayouri is ranked World Ranking: 31..
Murphy has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Vafaei Ayouri has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Murphy may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Murphy for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Murphy in today's match, at odds of 1.36.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Murphy has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:18 (averaging 12.3:6 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Shaun Murphy - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 69.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.