The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stephen Maguire 55%
Jamie Jones 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stephen Maguire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stephen Maguire's form might have worsened.
Jamie Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jamie Jones's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stephen Maguire than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stephen Maguire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jamie Jones than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jamie Jones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Stephen Maguire - Jamie Jones Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Maguire will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Jones will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jones: 44.9% – 88.5%.
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Preview
Maguire is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Jones in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Maguire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Maguire will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Maguire won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.