Match Info

UNITED KINGDOM: British Open - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Tian Pengfei		Luca Brecel

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.45	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.43	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.49)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tian Pengfei
38%

Luca Brecel
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tian Pengfei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Luca Brecel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tian Pengfei than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tian Pengfei, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Brecel than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Brecel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Pengfei is ranked World Ranking: 56. Brecel is ranked World Ranking: 6.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Brecel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brecel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pengfei won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tian Pengfei
Snooker
14.09.24	Tian Pengfei - Jiang Jun	2:4 ✺
01.09.24	Scott Donaldson - Tian Pengfei	4:2 ✺
31.08.24	Tian Pengfei - Sunny Akani	4:2 ✺
19.08.24	Jak Jones - Tian Pengfei	5:3 ✺
03.08.24	Scott Donaldson - Tian Pengfei	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLW
- Luca Brecel
Snooker
23.09.24	Luca Brecel - Mohammed Mustafa Shehab	4:1 ✺
18.09.24	Junxu Pang - Luca Brecel	4:3 ✺
17.09.24	Luca Brecel - Anthony Hamilton	4:3 ✺
03.09.24	Luca Brecel - Junxu Pang	2:5 ✺
29.07.24	Luca Brecel - Duane Jones	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
13.02.20	Luca Brecel - Tian Pengfei	4:3
24.09.19	Luca Brecel - Tian Pengfei	5:4
17.02.15	Luca Brecel - Tian Pengfei	4:1

Tian Pengfei - Luca Brecel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide