Match Info

Shenzhen Open - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)


	Yuhao Lan		Ashley Carty

	1	2
	1.67	2.10
	1.62	2.20
	4.15	1.18	Watch
	1.59	2.13
	1.62	2.21
	1.57	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.57)	1.99 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuhao Lan
49.4%

Ashley Carty
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuhao Lan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuhao Lan's form might have worsened.

Ashley Carty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ashley Carty's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuhao Lan than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuhao Lan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashley Carty than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ashley Carty, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Lan is ranked World Ranking: 78. Carty is ranked World Ranking: 98.

Lan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carty is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Lan will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuhao Lan
Snooker
03.07.26	Iulian Boiko - Yuhao Lan	2:2
03.07.26	Yuhao Lan - Ian Martin	3:0
03.07.26	Yuhao Lan - Joshua Thomond	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	Elliot Slessor - Yuhao Lan	6:3 ✺
11.06.26	Yuhao Lan - Oliver Sykes	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWWLW
- Ashley Carty
Snooker
07.07.26	Ashley Carty - George Pragnall	1:3 ✺
07.07.26	Matthew Stevens - Ashley Carty	3:0 ✺
07.07.26	Tom Ford - Ashley Carty	Canceled
07.07.26	Kai Wai Cheung - Ashley Carty	3:1 ✺
17.06.26	Matthew Stevens - Ashley Carty	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LL?LW

Yuhao Lan - Ashley Carty: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide