Match Info

World Grand Prix - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Kai Tak Arena (Hongkong)


	Zhao Xintong		Mark Selby

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.17	1.60	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.19	1.63
	2.14	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.18)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhao Xintong
42.9%

Mark Selby
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhao Xintong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mark Selby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhao Xintong than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Selby than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Zhao Xintong - Mark Selby Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhao (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Frames - Zhao (1.68) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 7.5 Frames - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhao (votes: 3 - 75%). Selby (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Zhao is ranked World Ranking: 8. Selby is ranked World Ranking: 6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhao won 3.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Zhao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zhao won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 3.1:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhao Xintong
Snooker
04.02.26	John Higgins - Zhao Xintong	3:5 ✺
28.01.26	Tom Ford - Zhao Xintong	5:3 ✺
27.01.26	Zhao Xintong - Jiang Jun	5:0 ✺
22.01.26	Zhao Xintong - Oliver Lines	3:1 ✺
22.01.26	Zhao Xintong - Wu Yize	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Mark Selby
Snooker
03.02.26	Mark Selby - Aaron Hill	5:0 ✺
28.01.26	Mark Selby - Xu Si	4:5 ✺
27.01.26	Mark Selby - Liu Hongyu	5:1 ✺
20.01.26	Mark Selby - Stuart Bingham	3:0 ✺
20.01.26	Neil Robertson - Mark Selby	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
20.01.26	Mark Selby - Zhao Xintong	2:3
06.11.25	Mark Selby - Zhao Xintong	5:6
08.01.23	Mark Selby - Zhao Xintong	Canceled
03.01.22	Mark Selby - Zhao Xintong	0:3
08.01.21	Mark Selby - Zhao Xintong	3:1
30.10.20	Mark Selby - Zhao Xintong	0:3
13.02.20	Mark Selby - Zhao Xintong	4:3

Zhao Xintong - Mark Selby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide