Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Águia Negra		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3	3.4	2.1
	2.95	3.4	2.08
	3	3.5	2
	3	3.52	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (3)	3.42 ↓ (3.52)	2.07 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águia Negra
30%

Draw
26.4%

Aparecidense
43.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.7%

26.1%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

19.3%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águia Negra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia Negra than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águia Negra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aparecidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Águia Negra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aparecidense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aparecidense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Águia Negra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águia Negra
Brazilian Serie D
25.10.20	Águia Negra - Vitória ES	2:1 ✺
22.10.20	Operário Ltda - Águia Negra	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Águia Negra - Operário Ltda	3:1 ✺
10.10.20	Aparecidense - Águia Negra	4:0 ✺
03.10.20	Águia Negra - Goiânia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLT
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie D
25.10.20	Noroeste - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
21.10.20	Aparecidense - União Rondonópolis	4:0 ✺
17.10.20	União Rondonópolis - Aparecidense	2:4 ✺
14.10.20	Aparecidense - Noroeste	2:1 ✺
10.10.20	Aparecidense - Águia Negra	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.10.20	Aparecidense - Águia Negra	4:0

Águia Negra - Aparecidense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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