Match Info
Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Águia Negra |
|
Aparecidense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3 |
3.4 |
2.1 |
|
 |
2.95 |
3.4 |
2.08 |
|
 |
3 |
3.5 |
2 |
|
 |
3 |
3.52 |
2.13 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(3) |
3.42 ↓
(3.52) |
2.07 ↓
(2.13) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Águia Negra
30% | Draw
26.4% | Aparecidense
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águia Negra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia Negra than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águia Negra that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+14.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aparecidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Recent matches Águia Negra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Aparecidense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Aparecidense will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Águia Negra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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