Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - APERTURA - ROUND 12

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Águila		Santa Tecla

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.6	7
	1.35	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.85	8.37
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.3	4.75	8.2
	1.34	4.4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	4.62 ↑ (4.5)	7.65 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águila
68.4%

Draw
19.7%

Santa Tecla
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

19.4%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Santa Tecla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Santa Tecla aligns with the current prediction.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Águila won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Águila could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Águila is indisputable favorite.

Last 42 head-to-head matches Águila won 13 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 44-50.

Including matches at home between the teams Águila won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
01.10.23	Águila - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	CD FAS - Águila	2:2 ✺
20.09.23	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Jocoro - Águila	0:2 ✺
15.09.23	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTWW
- Santa Tecla FC
El Salvador Primera Division
30.09.23	Municipal Limeño - Santa Tecla	1:1 ✺
27.09.23	Santa Tecla - Jocoro	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Santa Tecla - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:3 ✺
20.09.23	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Santa Tecla	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Santa Tecla - CD Dragón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
13.08.23	Santa Tecla - Águila	0:1
19.04.23	Águila - Santa Tecla	3:1
28.01.23	Santa Tecla - Águila	1:2
23.03.22	Santa Tecla - Águila	2:2
26.01.22	Águila - Santa Tecla	4:1
30.10.21	Águila - Santa Tecla	2:0
21.08.21	Santa Tecla - Águila	2:3

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