Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
North-central-america	Centro America TV


	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca		Águila

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.20	2.00
	3.25	3.05	2.07
	3.74	3.40	2.00
	3.61	3.32	2.03	Watch
	3.70	3.20	1.97
	3.60	3.14	1.95
	3.35	3.20	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.25)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	2 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
26%

Draw
28.3%

Águila
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

28.9%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-2%)

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Andrada F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense Municipal won 2.

Platense Municipal is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Águila has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Águila may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Águila holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Platense Municipal has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:33 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Platense Municipal against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aguila	14	5	5	4	22:18	4	20
8	Platense Municipal	14	4	4	6	15:19	-4	16

Last Results with these Odds

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.58%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Águila - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 43.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
El Salvador Primera Division
12.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cacahuatique - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Inter Santa Tecla	0:3 ✺
26.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Alianza San Miguel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWLT
- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
12.09.26	Águila - INCA-Aruba	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Municipal Limeño - Águila	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Águila - Fuerte San Francisco	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	CD FAS - Águila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
15.03.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila	2:0
28.01.26	Águila - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	4:1
21.09.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila	2:1
20.07.25	Águila - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:0
23.03.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila	0:1
26.01.25	Águila - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	3:1
26.10.24	Águila - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	2:2

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