Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Águila		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.00
	2.18	3.05	3.00
	2.18	3.2	3.33
	2.18	3.18	3.38	Watch
	2.08	3	3.25
	2.13	3.06	3.27
	2.11	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.08)	3.08 ↑ (3)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águila
42.4%

Draw
29.4%

Alianza San Miguel
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Águila - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Águila will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Portillo J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Andrada F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', Mier M. 🟥,
83', 1 - 2, Menjivar L. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, Diaz M. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águila won 4.

Recent form of Águila has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alianza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Águila will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Águila won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Águila won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aguila	14	5	5	4	22:18	4	20
6	Alianza FC	12	4	6	2	19:17	2	18

Last Results with these Odds

Águila - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.04%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
30.08.26	Águila - Fuerte San Francisco	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	CD FAS - Águila	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Águila - Atlético Balboa	2:4 ✺
07.08.26	Isidro Metapán - Águila	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Cacahuatique - Águila	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLT
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
29.08.26	Alianza San Miguel - Atlético Balboa	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Alianza San Miguel	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.26	CD Marathón - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
15.08.26	Alianza San Miguel - Cacahuatique	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
09.05.26	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	0:2
06.05.26	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	2:1
15.04.26	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	0:2
18.02.26	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	0:3
01.11.25	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	0:1
19.09.25	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	1:2
13.04.25	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	0:1

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