Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Águilas		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.9	4.2
	1.9	2.95	4.3
	1.86	2.92	4.33
	1.9	2.95	4.5
	1.88	3.02	4.58
	1.9	2.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.27)	2.95 ↑ (2.8)	4.37 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
48.4%

Draw
30.8%

Orihuela
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

33%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

31.8%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas's performance.

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orihuela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Águilas - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Miranda G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, Ballesteros S. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 10).

Águilas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Orihuela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Águilas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Águilas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Águilas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Águilas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.03.25	Cadiz CF B - Águilas	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Estepona - Águilas	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Águilas - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Xerez Deportivo - Águilas	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Águilas - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWWW
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.03.25	Orihuela - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Orihuela - Cadiz CF B	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Orihuela - Estepona	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	UCAM Murcia - Orihuela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.11.24	Orihuela - Águilas	0:0
23.03.24	Orihuela - Águilas	2:1
12.11.23	Águilas - Orihuela	0:0

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