Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Xerez Deportivo		Águilas

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.68	2.62
	2.57	2.88	3.01
	2.9	2.66	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.76)	2.74 ↓ (2.89)	2.76 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
33.1%

Draw
33.6%

Águilas
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

31.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

32.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Xerez Deportivo - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Beni ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Martinez C. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Xerez Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Águilas - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Real Jaén - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	La Unión - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLTT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.10.25	Águilas - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Almeria B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Águilas - CD Extremadura	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Águilas - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Linares Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.02.25	Xerez Deportivo - Águilas	0:1
29.09.24	Águilas - Xerez Deportivo	0:0

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