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Current Win Probability
Ægir 9.4%
Draw 12.4%
Afturelding 78.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.2%
18.5%
65.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.7%
18%
67.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ægir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ægir's form might have worsened.
Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Afturelding's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ægir than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ægir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Afturelding, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ægir - Afturelding Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Thull G. (G) 9. Adeyemo J. 11. Dabetic S. (C) 50. Gateau B. 15. Gudjonsson S. O. 30. Gunnarsson B. 80. Joninuson B. 19. Stojanovic N. 7. Thorbergsson K. A. 21. Thrastarson D. 22. Willard H.
1. Johannesson A. (G) 3. Andresson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 17. Brink H. O. 27. Cogic E. 9. Holtan J. 33. Hoti A. 19. Hugason S. 8. Kooistra B. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 4. Sigmarsson G.
Substitutes
27. Panic M. 20. Sanabria A. 24. Skoczylas P. L. 23. Stefansson S. 25. Tryggvason H. (G) 14. Vidarsson B. 28. Viggosson H.
79. Dadason R. 5. Petursson J. 2. Saevarsson B. 7. Sigurdsson K. 85. Sigurkarlsson K. (G) 14. Thorkelsson D. 24. Thrainsson T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Kooistra B. ⚽, Saevarsson A. (A),
38', 🟨,
41', Cogic E. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Holtan J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
46', Kooistra B. ↓, Sigurdsson K. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Brink H. O. ⚽, Sigmarsson G. (A),
54', 0 - 4, Holtan J. ⚽,
58', 0 - 5, Andresson A. ⚽,
59', Thorbergsson K. A. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
59', Willard H. ↓, Skoczylas P. L. ↑,
59', Holtan J. ↓, Dadason R. ↑,
78', Hugason S. ↓, Thorkelsson D. ↑,
78', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Petursson J. ↑,
84', 0 - 6, Dadason R. ⚽,
89', 0 - 7, Dadason R. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Ægir is Relegated to Division 2
Ægir is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Afturelding has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Afturelding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Afturelding is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ægir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:17. (average 0.7:5.7).
Including home match between the teams, Ægir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
Watch
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Thull G. (G) 
Adeyemo J. 
Dabetic S. (C) 
Gateau B. 
Gudjonsson S. O. 
Willard H. 
Holtan J. 
Kooistra B. 
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