The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IR Reykjavik 62.3%
Draw 19.1%
Ægir 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
20.8%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
18%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IR Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Ægir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IR Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IR Reykjavik that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ægir than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
IR Reykjavik - Ægir Predictions
Users Predictions:
IR Reykjavik will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sigurjonsson V. (G) 61. Bjarkason O. 17. Einarsson O. 9. Helgason B. 28. Hlynsson O. 14. Ivarsson V. 23. Kristinsson A. (C) 3. Kristjansson H. 6. Marteinsson K. 25. Sigurdsson J. 8. Sigurhjartarson E.
1. Einarsson Omar E. O. (G) 11. Dabetic S. (C) 50. Gateau B. 15. Gudjonsson S. O. 27. Panic M. 45. Ponjevic D. 24. Skoczylas P. L. 19. Stojanovic N. 7. Thorbergsson K. A. 21. Thrastarson D. 22. Willard H.
Substitutes
18. Bergmann T. H. 5. Hallgrimsson H. 27. Hlynsson J. (G) 11. Magnusson G. M. 13. Matthiasson V. 2. Solorzano A. 16. Vidarsson S.
30. Gunnarsson B. 80. Joninuson B. 20. Sanabria A. 23. Stefansson S. 25. Tryggvason H. (G) 14. Vidarsson B. 28. Viggosson H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Helgason B. ⚽, Kristinsson A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Willard H. ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, Sigurhjartarson E. ⚽,
60', Kristinsson A. 🟨,
62', Ivarsson V. ↓, Magnusson G. M. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Einarsson O. ⚽, Bjarkason O. (A),
69', Thorbergsson K. A. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
78', Helgason B. ↓, Bergmann T. H. ↑,
80', Stefansson S. 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Sanabria A. ⚽,
86', Kristinsson A. ↓, Solorzano A. ↑,
88', Einarsson O. 🟨,
90+3', Marteinsson K. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
In recent matches, IR Reykjavik has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ægir has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, IR Reykjavik is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavik won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, IR Reykjavik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).