Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 32

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Çaykur Didi Stadyumu (Rize)

Referee: Saka S. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Turkey	beIN Sports 2


	Çaykur Rizespor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.33	Watch
	1.63	4	4.33
	1.6	3.8	4.5
	1.63	4.2	5.07
	1.63	3.6	4.5
	1.62	4.15	4.65
	1.63	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.92)	3.96 ↑ (3.5)	4.51 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çaykur Rizespor
56.6%

Draw
23.1%

Sakaryaspor
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Çaykur Rizespor's performance.

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Çaykur Rizespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	8%	8%

Çaykur Rizespor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Çaykur Rizespor will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

Rizespor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sakaryaspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rizespor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sakaryaspor have a series of home games.

In this match Rizespor is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rizespor to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rizespor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish First League
09.04.23	Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Bandırmaspor	0:0 ✺
29.03.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Manisa FK	4:2 ✺
26.03.23	Eyüpspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Altay	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWWW
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
08.04.23	Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
03.04.23	Altay - Sakaryaspor	3:1 ✺
30.03.23	Sakaryaspor - Eyüpspor	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor	2:1 ✺
09.03.23	Sakaryaspor - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
14.11.22	Sakaryaspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1

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