Match Info

1. Lig - Round 22

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Celik D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sakaryaspor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.8	Watch
	3.87	3.49	1.83
	4.1	3.7	1.85
	3.97	3.7	1.83	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.85
	3.95	3.48	1.79	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.73)	3.57 (3.57)	1.82 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
23.7%

Draw
25.8%

Bodrumspor
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

26.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Sakaryaspor (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Sakaryaspor (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Bodrumspor (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bodrumspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bodrumspor (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 43. Kocaman A. 21. Yavuz S. 26. Kolovetsios D. 4. Cakir B. 88. Erkin C. (C) 44. Vukovic J. 24. Dursun S. 99. Yildirim P. 9. Zwolinski L. 10. Kakuta G.	32. Tosun B. (G) 8. Erdilman M. 68. Tarim I. 34. Aytemur A. (C) 77. Sen C. 20. Sertkaya Y. 21. Aslan A. 25. Turk A. 99. Seferi T. 7. Dimitrov Z. 11. Imeri O.
Substitutes
11. Akuazaoku U. 17. Bostan M. 8. Cihan M. 14. Demir E. 7. Demir M. 77. Erdogan E. 96. Karatas H. 45. Kirkikoglu M. (G) 80. Kutuk S. 16. Sen K.	54. Adiyaman R. (G) 35. Apaydin F. 37. Arkutcu E. 70. Bilsel E. 90. Habesoglu A. 18. Obekpa G. 91. Ogruce E.
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Eser B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Kakuta G. ↓, Sen K. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Tarim I. ⚽, Aytemur A. (A),
45', Kolovetsios D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dursun S. ↓, Bostan M. ↑,
46', Zwolinski L. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
67', Turk A. ↓, Habesoglu A. ↑,
67', Sertkaya Y. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Dimitrov Z. ⚽,
71', Erkin C. ↓, Erdogan E. ↑,
74', Kolovetsios D. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
87', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Ogruce E. ↑,
88', Sen K. 🟨,
90+1', Ogruce E. 🟨,
90+3', Sen C. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
90+3', Seferi T. ↓, Arkutcu E. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Bodrumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bodrumspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bayram A. (Suspended) Tekogul Y. (Suspended)

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Ajeti Ar. (Red Card) Yavuzay B. (Suspended)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	7:6	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Bodrumspor - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.11%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
19.01.26	Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Çorum - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
15.12.25	Sakaryaspor - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLW
- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
19.01.26	Bodrumspor - Sivasspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
15.01.26	Bodrumspor - Konyaspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
11.01.26	Pendikspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	Bodrumspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.08.25	Bodrumspor - Sakaryaspor	3:1
30.05.24	Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor	1:3 ET
10.02.24	Bodrumspor - Sakaryaspor	0:0
18.09.23	Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor	0:2
20.03.23	Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor	2:1
08.10.22	Bodrumspor - Sakaryaspor	5:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.01.22	Bodrumspor - Sakaryaspor	1:0

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