Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 10

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Altay		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.65	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.66
	5	3.75	1.68	Watch
	3.65	3.4	1.82
	4.98	3.9	1.69
	4.6	3.6	1.62
	4.85	3.78	1.64
	4.6	3.6	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (3.29)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)	1.68 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altay
19.8%

Draw
25.2%

Sakaryaspor
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.5%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

25.6%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altay's form might have worsened.

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sakaryaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sakaryaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Altay - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Altay will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Karatas E. (G) 14. Unlu T. 33. Sarikaya E. 17. Sarikaya S. 5. Ozdemir S. 7. Erdogan E. 6. Gulselam C. 8. Yildirim Z. 32. Gezer A. 19. Paixao M. 28. Gunduz M.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 70. Yildirim O. 12. Donkor I. 33. Dikmen E. 61. Cevahir B. 20. Kilic H. 21. Roshi O. 8. Kurt S. 54. Okyar M. 28. Del Valle Y. 4. Kasongo K.
Substitutes
30. Baycan C. 45. Caliskan M. (G) 77. Efe O. 63. Kadah D. 34. Ogruce E. 88. Ozkaya O. 38. Ozturk I. 3. Tekin Y. 11. Uluc M. 9. Yildiz M.	17. Akpinar M. 13. Demir I. (G) 30. Guvenli E. 22. Karadag Y. 24. Karakuzu Y. 6. Rotman R. 25. Simon N. 10. Suleyman B. 2. Ulgen A. 77. Uzun U.
Coaches
Goksu M.	Karsli T.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Altay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sakaryaspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Altay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sakaryaspor is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Altay won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish First League
23.10.23	Gençlerbirliği - Altay	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Altay - Umraniyespor	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Giresunspor - Altay	0:0 ✺
25.09.23	Altay - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Erzurumspor - Altay	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTTL
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
21.10.23	Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Manisa FK - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Sakaryaspor - Eyüpspor	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Çorum - Sakaryaspor	1:0 ✺
18.09.23	Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
03.04.23	Altay - Sakaryaspor	3:1
29.10.22	Sakaryaspor - Altay	1:2
Turkish Second League White Group
18.03.18	Sakaryaspor - Altay	1:0
29.10.17	Altay - Sakaryaspor	1:0

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