Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Corum Stadyumu (Corum)

Referee: Sen A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Çorum		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	6.25	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6.25
	1.37	4.55	7.09
	1.4	4.75	7.42
	1.44	4.61	6.41	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)	4.5 ↑ (4.47)	6.6 ↑ (6.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çorum
65.6%

Draw
20.4%

Manisa FK
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.7%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

20.1%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çorum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çorum than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	8.7%	17.4%

Çorum - Manisa FK Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Çorum will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Manisa will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Çorum: 56% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Çorum will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sehic I. (G) 23. Ergun U. 3. Attamah J. 15. Sengul A. 39. Kas E. 14. Pedrinho 18. Samudio B. 9. Aleksic D. 20. Gurbulak O. 10. Erdogan Y. 33. Caglayan O.	36. Karabatak S. (G) 45. Karapo A. 50. Gocmen B. 13. Ibik A. 2. Talum Y. 60. Toure B. 25. Cissokho M. 20. Benrahou Y. 10. Lindseth J. 4. Herelle C. 9. Diony L.
Substitutes
8. Akkaynak A. 11. Akyildiz S. 92. Cangoz A. 90. Eze E. 22. Kalafat K. 99. Karadag E. 1. Kivanc A. (G) 88. Osmanpasa C. 19. Sertel C. 6. Yazgan F.	21. Akboga E. 22. Bodur S. (G) 19. Erdem U. 35. Inal F. 17. Kahraman O. 1. Karakus V. (G) 23. Kiprit M. 88. Yilmaz B. 26. Yuce Y. 8. Yurdakul K.
Coaches
Cavus C.	Taskin T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Samudio B. ⚽, Gurbulak O. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Gurbulak O. ⚽, Caglayan O. (A),
34', Cissokho M. 🟨,
38', Gocmen B. 🟨,
39', 3 - 0, Samudio B. ⚽, Erdogan Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Benrahou Y. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
46', Cissokho M. ↓, Yurdakul K. ↑,
56', Ibik A. ↓, Erdem U. ↑,
65', Aleksic D. ↓, Akkaynak A. ↑,
65', Caglayan O. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Toure B. ⚽,
72', Toure B. 🟨,
75', Gurbulak O. ↓, Yazgan F. ↑,
75', Sengul A. ↓, Osmanpasa C. ↑,
83', Toure B. ↓, Yuce Y. ↑,
90', Erdogan Y. ↓, Cangoz A. ↑,
90+3', Akkaynak A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Çorum is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Çorum: Akinay H. (Finger Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Çorum won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Çorum won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çorum FK
Turkish First League
27.09.25	Umraniyespor - Çorum	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Çorum - Serik Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	İstanbulspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Çorum - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Keçiörengücü - Çorum	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLTW
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
28.09.25	Manisa FK - Bodrumspor	0:4 ✺
24.09.25	Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Manisa FK - Erokspor	3:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
16.09.25	Kırıkkale - Manisa FK	0:2 ✺
Turkish First League
13.09.25	Boluspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
13.04.25	Çorum - Manisa FK	3:2
07.12.24	Manisa FK - Çorum	0:1
16.03.24	Çorum - Manisa FK	4:3
29.10.23	Manisa FK - Çorum	2:2
Turkish Second League White Group
27.01.21	Manisa FK - Çorum	1:0

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