Match Info
Challenge League - Round 3Date: 7 August 2026, FridayLocation: Stade de la Fontenette (Carouge)Referee: Londino M. (Sui)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Étoile Carouge |
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Neuchâtel Xamax |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.65 |
3.50 |
2.20 |
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 |
2.68 |
3.55 |
2.28 |
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2.73 |
3.75 |
2.43 |
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2.47 |
3.64 |
2.61 |
 Watch |
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2.65 |
3.65 |
2.40 |
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2.64 |
3.44 |
2.27 |
Watch |
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2.65 |
3.55 |
2.26 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.4) |
3.58 ↓
(3.63) |
2.35 ↓
(2.57) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Étoile Carouge
35% | Draw
25.8% | Neuchâtel Xamax
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-3.9%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
Neuchâtel Xamax will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
23.  Huwiler L. (G)
78. Boulkous N.
4. Strohbach I.
24. Dubosson M.
99. Tsoungui M.
8. Ricardo Alves
14.  Camara S.
10. Caslei B. (C)
7. Correia O.
77.  Escorza T.
88. Essiena L.
| 13.  Likar U. (G)
16. Seydoux L.
60. Camara M.
21.  Bergsma L.
7. Facchinetti M.
4.  Abedini E. (C)
24.  Keita I.
70. Diomande B.
8. Bayard R.
10. Mulaj L.
22. Luthi J.
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| Substitutes |
16. Biku E.
42. Cavus D. (G)
1. Diallo M. (G)
6. El Jaouhari M.
21. Holcbecher M.
13. Koroma C.
2.  Neves D.
17. Sene O.
22. Zrankeon G.
| 41. Bourezak A.
81. Carraco D.
25.  Dind M.
3. Fontana J.
11. Garcia N.
28.  Gjorgjev N.
5.  Gunnarsson N.
1.  Mossi A. (G)
40. Veya L.
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| Coaches |
 Nogueira P.
| Berner B.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Camara M. ⚽, Facchinetti M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Mulaj L. ↓, Gunnarsson N. ↑,
- 58', Facchinetti M. ↓, Fontana J. ↑,
- 67', Seydoux L. 🟨,
- 67', Diomande B. ↓, Carraco D. ↑,
- 68', Luthi J. ↓, Veya L. ↑,
- 77', Boulkous N. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
- 77', Caslei B. ↓, Koroma C. ↑,
- 78', Abedini E. 🟨,
- 83', Tsoungui M. ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
- 83', Seydoux L. ↓, Dind M. ↑,
- 89', Dubosson M. ↓, Zrankeon G. ↑,
- 90', Escorza T. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 1.In recent matches, Étoile has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Xamax is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.There will not play in Étoile: Cespedes B.
(Suspended)
Christin B.
(Injury)
Hoxha F.
(Injury)
Januario E.
(Muscle Injury)
Kadima R.
(Injury)There will not play in Xamax: dos Santos G.
(Knee Injury)There are questionable in Étoile: Itaitinga
(Injury)There are questionable in Xamax: Likar U.
(Inactive)In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Xamax | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
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| 5 | Etoile-Carouge | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Neuchâtel Xamax - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Swiss Challenge League | | | 11.05.26 | Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge | 3:0 | | 13.02.26 | Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax | 1:3 | | 17.10.25 | Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax | 0:2 | | 22.08.25 | Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge | 2:1 | | 09.05.25 | Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge | 1:2 | | 07.02.25 | Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax | 2:1 | | 18.10.24 | Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge | 0:3 |
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